GGOALVIO

Germany · Regionalliga - Nord · 10/18/2026, 12:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HSC Hannover · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5

Most likely scores: 2-2 (7%), 3-2 (7%), 2-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

HSC Hannover 1-1 Todesfelde

Original prediction

HSC Hannover

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 4 October 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.7651.1%49.5%-1.7 pts
Draw4.2421.2%18.2%-3.1 pts
Away3.2627.6%32.4%4.7 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 3.24 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-1.7 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.2–27%
  2. 2.3–27%
  3. 3.2–16%

Predicted outcome

HSC Hannover

Probability

49.5%

Model confidence

49.5%

HSC Hannover has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HSC HannoverWWLLD

GF 10 · GA 12 · avg 2.00/2.40

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
TodesfeldeLWLLL

GF 5 · GA 20 · avg 1.00/4.00

BTTS 3/5O2.5 5/5
HSC HannoverTodesfelde
47.2Attack58.3
27.8Defence0.0
36.1Form30.6
38.6Power31.1
2.81xG2.33
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