HSC Hannovervs
Phönix Lübeck
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nord · 9/2/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Phönix Lübeck · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 2-1 (8%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HSC Hannover 0-3 Phönix Lübeck
Original prediction
Phönix Lübeck
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:05 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.53 | 25.7% | 34.6% | 8.8 pts |
| Draw | 3.70 | 24.6% | 25.1% | 0.6 pts |
| Away | 1.83 | 49.7% | 40.3% | -9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.83 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.2–18%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Phönix Lübeck
Probability
40.3%
Model confidence
40.3%
Phönix Lübeck has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40
GF 10 · GA 6 · avg 2.00/1.20