HSC Hannovervs
Hamburger SV II
COMPLETEDGermany · Regionalliga - Nord · 9/20/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HSC Hannover · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (8%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HSC Hannover 0-4 Hamburger SV II
Original prediction
HSC Hannover
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 00:04 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.22 | 40.8% | 54.7% | 13.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.56 | 25.4% | 19.4% | -6.0 pts |
| Away | 2.69 | 33.7% | 25.9% | -7.9 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
13.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–18%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
HSC Hannover
Probability
54.7%
Model confidence
54.7%
HSC Hannover has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 14 · avg 1.20/2.80
GF 6 · GA 11 · avg 1.20/2.20