GGOALVIO

Croatia · Second NL · 10/9/2026, 1:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Uskok Klis · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-2 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0-4 Uskok Klis

Original prediction

Uskok Klis

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 10 September 2026 at 17:46 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.8032.3%32.3%-0.1 pts
Draw3.4626.2%28.8%2.6 pts
Away2.1841.5%39.0%-2.6 pts

Historical EV

1X2 1.18 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-2.6 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–113%
  2. 2.1–29%
  3. 3.0–19%

Predicted outcome

Uskok Klis

Probability

39.0%

Model confidence

39.0%

Uskok Klis has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hrvatski DragovoljacWLWWL

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Uskok KlisWLWLW

GF 12 · GA 9 · avg 2.40/1.80

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
Hrvatski DragovoljacUskok Klis
16.7Attack66.7
66.7Defence100.0
16.7Form100.0
36.5Power88.7
1.19xG1.49
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