Hrvatski Dragovoljacvs
Slavonija Požega
COMPLETEDCroatia · Second NL · 9/12/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hrvatski Dragovoljac · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 1-0 (10%), 2-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1-0 Slavonija Požega
Original prediction
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:41 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 1.91 | 47.4% | 43.4% | -4.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.52 | 25.8% | 27.4% | 1.6 pts |
| Away | 3.38 | 26.8% | 29.3% | 2.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.91 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-4.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.1–010%
- 3.2–19%
Predicted outcome
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Probability
43.4%
Model confidence
43.4%
Hrvatski Dragovoljac has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 12 · avg 1.00/2.40
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40