Hrvatski Dragovoljacvs
NK Slaven Belupo
COMPLETEDCroatia · Cup · 9/9/2026, 2:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
NK Slaven Belupo · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (8%), 3-1 (7%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0-5 NK Slaven Belupo
Original prediction
NK Slaven Belupo
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.01-1.20| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 10.57 | 8.6% | 37.4% | 28.8 pts |
| Draw | 6.40 | 14.1% | 21.9% | 7.8 pts |
| Away | 1.17 | 77.3% | 40.7% | -36.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 0.17 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-36.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–18%
- 2.3–17%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
NK Slaven Belupo
Probability
40.7%
Model confidence
40.7%
NK Slaven Belupo has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20