Hrvatski Dragovoljacvs
Lucko
COMPLETEDCroatia · Second NL · 8/29/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hrvatski Dragovoljac · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 1-0 (12%), 0-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0-3 Lucko
Original prediction
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:50 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.47 | 36.6% | 44.7% | 8.0 pts |
| Draw | 3.28 | 27.6% | 25.8% | -1.8 pts |
| Away | 2.53 | 35.8% | 29.5% | -6.3 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
8.0 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.1–012%
- 3.0–011%
Predicted outcome
Hrvatski Dragovoljac
Probability
44.7%
Model confidence
44.7%
Hrvatski Dragovoljac has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40