GGOALVIO

Croatia · Second NL · 8/25/2023, 3:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Kustosija · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2

Highconfidence

Hrvatski Dragovoljac are 0W-1D-2L in their last 3 (DLL), averaging 0.67 scored and 2.33 conceded, while Kustosija are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 2.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 8 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Kustosija hold a 23.6-point power-rating edge (44.7 v 68.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 65.3% in the Second NL, while Kustosija holds the strongest overall chance at 65% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 44% BTTS chance and 50% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Kustosija

Probability

65.3%

Model confidence

65.3%

Kustosija has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

Hrvatski DragovoljacDLL

GF 2 · GA 7 · avg 0.67/2.33

BTTS 2/3O2.5 2/3
KustosijaLLLLL

GF 1 · GA 12 · avg 0.20/2.40

BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Hrvatski DragovoljacKustosija
41.1Attack67.8
48.9Defence72.2
40.0Form67.8
44.7Power68.3
0.69xG2.04
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