Hrvatski Dragovoljacvs
Križevci
COMPLETEDCroatia · Second NL · 9/25/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Križevci · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 0-1 (11%), 0-2 (10%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hrvatski Dragovoljac 0-1 Križevci
Original prediction
Križevci
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 18:42 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.49 | 36.1% | 29.9% | -6.2 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 26.6% | 27.7% | 1.1 pts |
| Away | 2.41 | 37.3% | 42.4% | 5.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.41 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
5.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.0–111%
- 3.0–210%
Predicted outcome
Križevci
Probability
42.4%
Model confidence
42.4%
Križevci has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 9 · avg 0.60/1.80
GF 7 · GA 12 · avg 1.40/2.40