Hrvatski Dragovoljacvs
Inter Zapresic
COMPLETEDCroatia · Second NL · 10/24/2026, 1:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Inter Zapresic · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-1 (10%), 0-0 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hrvatski Dragovoljac 1-1 Inter Zapresic
Original prediction
Inter Zapresic
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 September 2026 at 00:37 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.32 | 38.8% | 33.4% | -5.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.36 | 26.8% | 29.0% | 2.2 pts |
| Away | 2.62 | 34.4% | 37.5% | 3.1 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.36 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.1 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–110%
- 3.0–09%
Predicted outcome
Inter Zapresic
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Inter Zapresic has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 9 · avg 1.00/1.80
GF 6 · GA 6 · avg 1.20/1.20