Hrvacevs
Orijent 1919
COMPLETEDCroatia · First NL · 9/26/2026, 2:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (14%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hrvace 3-0 Orijent 1919
Original prediction
Draw
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:27 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.41 | 37.4% | 35.3% | -2.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.11 | 29.0% | 30.4% | 1.4 pts |
| Away | 2.68 | 33.6% | 34.4% | 0.7 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–014%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
30.4%
Model confidence
35.3%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HrvaceWDLLL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Orijent 1919WLDDD
GF 4 · GA 4 · avg 0.80/0.80
BTTS 2/5O2.5 1/5
HrvaceOrijent 1919
0.0Attack0.0
66.7Defence100.0
0.0Form33.3
23.7Power45.3
1.02xG1.02