Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Jadran LP · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (12%), 0-1 (12%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hrvace 1-4 Jadran LP
Original prediction
Jadran LP
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 00:58 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.46 | 37.1% | 33.6% | -3.4 pts |
| Draw | 3.23 | 28.3% | 29.5% | 1.2 pts |
| Away | 2.63 | 34.6% | 36.9% | 2.2 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.63 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
2.2 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–115%
- 2.0–012%
- 3.0–112%
Predicted outcome
Jadran LP
Probability
36.9%
Model confidence
36.9%
Jadran LP has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HrvaceLLLLL
GF 1 · GA 11 · avg 0.20/2.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 3/5
Jadran LPDWWWW
GF 14 · GA 5 · avg 2.80/1.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
HrvaceJadran LP
36.4Attack50.0
51.5Defence50.0
36.4Form50.0
43.2Power50.0
1.02xG1.22