GGOALVIO

Croatia · First NL · 9/12/2026, 2:30:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hrvace · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Most likely scores: 1-1 (15%), 0-0 (13%), 1-0 (11%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.

Prediction record

Final result

Hrvace 0-0 Dubrava Zagreb

Original prediction

Hrvace

Outcome

Incorrect

Prediction record created 29 August 2026 at 00:09 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home2.0144.9%37.5%-7.4 pts
Draw3.3127.3%29.2%2.0 pts
Away3.2527.8%33.2%5.4 pts

Historical EV

1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.31 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-7.4 pts

Most Likely Scores

  1. 1.1–115%
  2. 2.0–013%
  3. 3.1–011%

Predicted outcome

Hrvace

Probability

37.5%

Model confidence

37.5%

Hrvace has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HrvaceLLLLL

GF 3 · GA 13 · avg 0.60/2.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Dubrava ZagrebWDLLL

GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 3/5
HrvaceDubrava Zagreb
0.0Attack33.3
66.7Defence66.7
0.0Form33.3
23.7Power45.3
1.09xG1.08
View match centre →