Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Pesch · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hürth are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLLDD), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded, while Pesch are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWDL), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Pesch hold a 5.7-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 46.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 46.9% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Pesch holds the strongest overall chance at 47% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 65% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Pesch
Probability
46.9%
Model confidence
46.9%
Pesch has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00