Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hürth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hürth are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Hennef 05 are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LLWWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 40.8 against 41.0. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 10.9% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Hürth holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 67% BTTS chance and 65% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hürth
Probability
38.8%
Model confidence
10.9%
Hürth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60