GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 9/3/2023, 1:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Freialdenhoven · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hürth are 1W-2D-1L in their last 4 (DDLW), averaging 1.50 scored and 1.75 conceded, while Freialdenhoven are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWW), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 9 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Freialdenhoven hold an 8.0-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 48.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 48.9% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Freialdenhoven holds the strongest overall chance at 49% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 59% BTTS chance and 58% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Freialdenhoven

Probability

48.9%

Model confidence

48.9%

Freialdenhoven has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HürthDDLW

GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.50/1.75

BTTS 4/4O2.5 3/4
FreialdenhovenDLLWW

GF 11 · GA 8 · avg 2.20/1.60

BTTS 4/5O2.5 4/5
HürthFreialdenhoven
36.8Attack54.0
41.4Defence50.6
37.9Form41.4
40.8Power48.8
1.19xG1.84
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