Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Hürth are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDLWD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while Frechen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLW), averaging 3.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 25.7-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 66.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.6% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frechen
Probability
73.6%
Model confidence
73.6%
Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 16 · GA 10 · avg 3.20/2.00