Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Frechen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Hürth are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DLLWD), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Frechen are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (WLWWL), averaging 2.80 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Frechen hold a 25.7-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 66.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 73.6% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Frechen holds the strongest overall chance at 74% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 55% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Frechen
Probability
73.6%
Model confidence
73.6%
Frechen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
GF 14 · GA 9 · avg 2.80/1.80