Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bonner SC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Hürth are 1W-3D-1L in their last 5 (WDLDD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Bonner SC are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 3 passed 2.5 goals, and Bonner SC hold a 27.8-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 68.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.7% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bonner SC holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bonner SC
Probability
70.7%
Model confidence
70.7%
Bonner SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
GF 8 · GA 4 · avg 1.60/0.80