Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Bonner SC · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
Hürth are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWDLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Bonner SC are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 2.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Bonner SC hold a 27.8-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 68.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 70.7% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Bonner SC holds the strongest overall chance at 71% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 45% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Bonner SC
Probability
70.7%
Model confidence
70.7%
Bonner SC has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 8 · avg 1.20/1.60
GF 13 · GA 2 · avg 2.60/0.40