GGOALVIO

Germany · Oberliga - Mittelrhein · 10/15/2023, 1:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hürth · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Highconfidence

Hürth are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 3.20 conceded, while Bonn-Endenich are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 1.20 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and Hürth hold a 3.5-point power-rating edge (40.8 v 37.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 40.7% in the Oberliga - Mittelrhein, while Hürth holds the strongest overall chance at 41% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 60% BTTS chance and 56% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hürth

Probability

40.7%

Model confidence

40.7%

Hürth has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HürthWDLLL

GF 6 · GA 16 · avg 1.20/3.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Bonn-EndenichWDLLL

GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00

BTTS 2/5O2.5 3/5
HürthBonn-Endenich
36.8Attack40.2
41.4Defence35.6
37.9Form29.9
40.8Power37.3
1.60xG1.33
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