Hørsholm-Usserødvs
Vanløse
COMPLETEDDenmark · 3. Division · 9/19/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vanløse · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (9%), 1-1 (9%), 2-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hørsholm-Usserød 1-1 Vanløse
Original prediction
Vanløse
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 5 September 2026 at 00:02 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.31 | 38.9% | 30.6% | -8.3 pts |
| Draw | 3.54 | 25.5% | 22.3% | -3.2 pts |
| Away | 2.53 | 35.6% | 47.1% | 11.5 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.54 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
11.5 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–29%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.2–27%
Predicted outcome
Vanløse
Probability
47.1%
Model confidence
47.1%
Vanløse has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 11 · GA 5 · avg 2.20/1.00