Hørsholm-Usserødvs
Holbæk B&I
COMPLETEDDenmark · 3. Division · 9/13/2026, 12:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Holbæk B&I · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-2 (8%), 1-3 (8%), 1-1 (6%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hørsholm-Usserød 3-1 Holbæk B&I
Original prediction
Holbæk B&I
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 30 August 2026 at 00:03 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.32 | 20.9% | 21.4% | 0.5 pts |
| Draw | 4.11 | 21.9% | 19.9% | -2.1 pts |
| Away | 1.58 | 57.1% | 58.7% | 1.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
1.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–28%
- 2.1–38%
- 3.1–16%
Predicted outcome
Holbæk B&I
Probability
58.7%
Model confidence
58.7%
Holbæk B&I has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 14 · GA 12 · avg 2.80/2.40
GF 15 · GA 6 · avg 3.00/1.20