Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 0-0
Hércules are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while Tarazona are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WDLLL), averaging 0.80 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and Hércules hold a 5.1-point power-rating edge (51.3 v 46.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.6% in the Primera División RFEF - Group 2, while a draw holds the strongest overall chance at 45% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 25% BTTS chance and 16% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
44.6%
Model confidence
44.6%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20