GGOALVIO

Spain · Primera División RFEF - Group 2 · 10/12/2026, 4:15:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hércules · BTTS No · Under 2.5

Projected score: Hércules 0-0 Sant Andreu, with an exact score probability of 17%.

Prediction record

Final result

Hércules 1-0 Sant Andreu

Original prediction

Hércules

Outcome

Correct

Prediction record created 12 September 2026 at 06:24 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.

Value and market comparison

Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00
MarketOddsImplied probabilityModel probabilityDifference
Home1.8050.6%39.8%-10.7 pts
Draw3.2328.1%30.8%2.6 pts
Away4.2621.3%29.4%8.1 pts

Historical EV

1X2 0.80 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -

Value score

-10.7 pts

Projected Score

Hércules 0–0 Sant Andreu

Exact score probability: 17%

Predicted outcome

Hércules

Probability

39.8%

Model confidence

39.8%

Hércules has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HérculesDWWWL

GF 4 · GA 3 · avg 0.80/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 1/5
Sant AndreuDWDLW

GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20

BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
HérculesSant Andreu
26.7Attack46.7
80.0Defence60.0
66.7Form53.3
61.0Power55.3
1.00xG0.85
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