Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
FAS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hércules are 1W-4D-0L in their last 5 (DWDDD), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.80 conceded, while FAS are 3W-2D-0L in their last 5 (WDWDW), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and FAS hold a 26.8-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 83.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.9% in the Copa Presidente, while FAS holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 57% BTTS chance and 53% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
FAS
Probability
45.6%
Model confidence
12.9%
FAS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 4 · avg 1.20/0.80
GF 8 · GA 2 · avg 1.60/0.40