GGOALVIO

Spain · Segunda División RFEF - Group 3 · 9/3/2023, 6:00:00 PM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Hércules · BTTS No · Under 2.5 · 1-0

Highconfidence

Hércules are 2W-2D-1L in their last 5 (WDDWL), averaging 1.20 scored and 0.60 conceded, while Espanyol II are 1W-0D-0L in their last 1 (W), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 1 of those 6 games and 2 passed 2.5 goals, and Hércules hold a 14.1-point power-rating edge (63.2 v 49.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 55.1% in the Segunda División RFEF - Group 3, while Hércules holds the strongest overall chance at 55% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 36% BTTS chance and 35% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Hércules

Probability

55.1%

Model confidence

55.1%

Hércules has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HérculesWDDWL

GF 6 · GA 3 · avg 1.20/0.60

BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
Espanyol IIW

GF 2 · GA 0 · avg 2.00/0.00

BTTS 0/1O2.5 0/1
HérculesEspanyol II
52.0Attack39.2
70.6Defence56.9
63.7Form45.1
63.2Power49.1
1.50xG0.60
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