Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hranice · BTTS No · Under 2.5
Projected score: Hranice 0-0 Vítkovice, with an exact score probability of 22%.
Prediction record
Final result
Hranice 2-1 Vítkovice
Original prediction
Hranice
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 5 October 2026 at 00:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.50 | 35.7% | 39.6% | 3.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.25 | 27.5% | 31.0% | 3.5 pts |
| Away | 2.43 | 36.7% | 29.4% | -7.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 1.50 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
3.9 pts
Projected Score
Hranice 0–0 Vítkovice
Exact score probability: 22%
Predicted outcome
Hranice
Probability
39.6%
Model confidence
39.6%
Hranice has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HraniceWDWDW
GF 7 · GA 3 · avg 1.40/0.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 1/5
VítkoviceLLWDL
GF 4 · GA 9 · avg 0.80/1.80
BTTS 1/5O2.5 4/5
HraniceVítkovice
44.4Attack33.3
72.2Defence63.9
55.6Form44.4
57.2Power48.2
1.07xG0.50