Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Vrchovina · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (12%), 1-2 (9%), 2-1 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hranice 1-0 Vrchovina
Original prediction
Vrchovina
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 27 August 2026 at 00:20 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 2.48 | 36.2% | 35.2% | -1.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.29 | 27.3% | 27.5% | 0.2 pts |
| Away | 2.46 | 36.5% | 37.3% | 0.8 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
0.8 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–112%
- 2.1–29%
- 3.2–18%
Predicted outcome
Vrchovina
Probability
37.3%
Model confidence
37.3%
Vrchovina has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HraniceLWWLL
GF 8 · GA 6 · avg 1.60/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
VrchovinaLWWWL
GF 4 · GA 6 · avg 0.80/1.20
BTTS 1/5O2.5 2/5
HraniceVrchovina
33.3Attack33.3
0.0Defence50.0
0.0Form50.0
15.3Power47.8
1.44xG1.56