Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Líšeň II · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (11%), 1-2 (10%), 0-2 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hranice 1-1 Líšeň II
Original prediction
Líšeň II
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 6 September 2026 at 04:31 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 1.40-2.00| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 4.22 | 21.3% | 27.9% | 6.5 pts |
| Draw | 3.92 | 23.0% | 25.9% | 2.8 pts |
| Away | 1.62 | 55.6% | 46.3% | -9.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.92 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-9.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–111%
- 2.1–210%
- 3.0–27%
Predicted outcome
Líšeň II
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
46.3%
Líšeň II has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HraniceWDWWL
GF 7 · GA 6 · avg 1.40/1.20
BTTS 3/5O2.5 2/5
Líšeň IIDDWWW
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
HraniceLíšeň II
33.3Attack66.7
0.0Defence66.7
0.0Form66.7
15.3Power68.0
1.30xG1.85