Hradec Královévs
Sparta Praha
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · Czech Liga · 9/6/2026, 4:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Sparta Praha · BTTS Yes · Under 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (14%), 0-0 (9%), 0-1 (9%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hradec Králové 2-1 Sparta Praha
Original prediction
Sparta Praha
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:01 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.30 | 28.2% | 33.3% | 5.1 pts |
| Draw | 3.51 | 26.5% | 26.9% | 0.4 pts |
| Away | 2.05 | 45.4% | 39.8% | -5.6 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw -1.00 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.6 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–114%
- 2.0–09%
- 3.0–19%
Predicted outcome
Sparta Praha
Probability
39.8%
Model confidence
39.8%
Sparta Praha has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 8 · avg 0.60/1.60
GF 8 · GA 9 · avg 1.60/1.80