Hradec Královévs
Plzen
COMPLETEDCzech-Republic · Czech Liga · 9/9/2026, 5:00:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Plzen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 1-1 (13%), 2-1 (9%), 1-2 (8%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
Hradec Králové 0-0 Plzen
Original prediction
Plzen
Outcome
Incorrect
Prediction record created 28 August 2026 at 00:08 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Value and market comparison
Odds bucket: 2.00-3.50| Market | Odds | Implied probability | Model probability | Difference |
|---|---|---|---|---|
| Home | 3.11 | 29.8% | 36.7% | 6.9 pts |
| Draw | 3.38 | 27.4% | 25.8% | -1.5 pts |
| Away | 2.16 | 42.9% | 37.5% | -5.4 pts |
Historical EV
1X2 -1.00 · Draw 2.38 · BTTS - · Over 2.5 -
Value score
-5.4 pts
Most Likely Scores
- 1.1–113%
- 2.2–19%
- 3.1–28%
Predicted outcome
Plzen
Probability
37.5%
Model confidence
37.5%
Plzen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
Hradec KrálovéWLLLD
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
PlzenWDWLW
GF 12 · GA 7 · avg 2.40/1.40
BTTS 3/5O2.5 4/5
Hradec KrálovéPlzen
33.3Attack77.8
66.7Defence33.3
55.6Form50.0
54.9Power54.8
1.50xG1.41