Friendlies ClubsFriendlies Clubs
Wednesday, 15 July 2026Last updated 12:37
Hradec Králové II

Hradec Králové II

Home
L
25
Full time
Jablonec II

Jablonec II

Away
W
GoalVio prediction
Friendly match
Very hard to predict

Friendly match — very hard to predict, not included in accuracy.

Hradec Králové II51%
Draw35%
Jablonec II14%
Most likely exact score1-0
Prediction missed— Result: Jablonec II
Win probability
Hradec Králové II
51%
Draw
35%
Jablonec II
14%
Predicted winner is based on the highest win probability.
Intelligence snapshot
Attack
Hradec Králové II
73
Jablonec II
100
Defence
Hradec Králové II
0
Jablonec II
27
Momentum
Hradec Králové II
0
Jablonec II
100
Danger (xG)
Hradec Králové II
1.80
Jablonec II
4.50
Both teams to score
No

The model projects 1.41 xG for Hradec Králové II and 1.29 xG for Jablonec II — meaningful and meaningful attacking threat respectively. Both sides are generating enough chance quality to make scoring a realistic expectation, which is the primary driver of the BTTS projection.The projected 1-1 scoreline reflects both teams contributing to the goal tally. The xG gap between the sides is narrow (0.11), meaning neither defence is expected to completely shut the other out.The attack-versus-defence matchup supports both teams scoring. Hradec Králové II's Attack Score (73) exceeds Jablonec II's Defensive Stability (27), and Jablonec II's attack (100) similarly tests Hradec Králové II's defence (0). Neither backline is dominant enough to prevent the other side from scoring.

Over 2.5 goals
No

The model projects a combined xG of 2.70 — elevated attacking volume. A combined xG below 2.5 is the model's primary signal that the match is unlikely to produce more than two goals, and this fixture falls below that threshold.The projected 1-1 scoreline stays under the 2.5-goal mark. The probability grid is dominated by scorelines of two goals or fewer, with the over 2.5 market requiring a result that sits outside the model's most likely outcomes.

xG for (Hradec Králové II)
1.80
avg per match
xG for (Jablonec II)
4.50
avg per match
xG against (Hradec Králové II)
4.50
avg per match
xG against (Jablonec II)
1.80
avg per match

Momentum trend

last 5 matches
Hradec Králové IIHradec Králové II
LW
Jablonec IIJablonec II
WD

Probability breakdown

39% confidence
Hradec Králové II51%
Draw35%
Jablonec II14%

Hradec Králové II leads with 51% — the model's highest-probability outcome for this fixture.

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Analysis

Hradec Králové II Backed to Win — Model Projects 1-0

Hradec Králové II take on Jablonec II in Friendlies Clubs.

Why GoalVio backs this

Neither side carries a decisive edge in the metrics that most reliably separate teams at this level — xG creation, defensive solidity, and recent form are all closely matched. When the underlying football inputs are this evenly distributed, a draw is the most defensible projection.

Biggest risk: The head-to-head record shows null have won 4 of the last 10 meetings — a competitive history that suggests null's statistical advantage does not always translate into results against this specific opponent.

Risk factors

  • Hradec Králové II have been conceding 1.73 goals per game — their defence could be exposed.
  • These sides have drawn 4 of their last 10 meetings — history suggests a tight, unpredictable contest.
  • Live conditions — weather, team news, and in-game momentum — can always override statistical projections.

Head to head

Hradec Králové II 0Draws 01 Jablonec II
Avg goals: 7.0BTTS in 1/1
15 Jul 2026
Hradec Králové II
L25
Jablonec II

Recent form

Hradec Králové II

Hradec Králové II

L
vs Jablonec II
15 Jul 2026
25
W
@ Kolín
17 May 2026
40
Jablonec II

Jablonec II

W
@ Hradec Králové II
15 Jul 2026
52
D
vs Varnsdorf
17 May 2026
33

Frequently asked questions

Who will win Hradec Králové II vs Jablonec II?

GoalVio's model predicts Hradec Králové II to win with 39% confidence.

What is the predicted score for Hradec Králové II vs Jablonec II?

The most likely scoreline according to GoalVio's Skellam-DC model is 1-0.

Will both teams score in Hradec Králové II vs Jablonec II?

GoalVio's model predicts BTTS: No — at least one team is expected to keep a clean sheet.

Will there be over 2.5 goals in Hradec Králové II vs Jablonec II?

GoalVio's model predicts Over 2.5 Goals: No — fewer than 3 goals are expected.

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About this prediction
GoalVio Prediction Engine v5 — updated dailyPowered by Poisson, xG and momentum modelsAccuracy last 30 days: 54%Last model update:
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Responsible gambling: Predictions are generated by a statistical model for informational purposes only. Past accuracy does not guarantee future results. Learn more