Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HPS W · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
HPS W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 0.60 conceded, while VIFK W are 0W-0D-5L in their last 5 (LLLLL), averaging 0.20 scored and 3.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 2 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and HPS W hold a 40.0-point power-rating edge (58.4 v 18.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 14.4% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while HPS W holds the strongest overall chance at 86% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HPS W
Probability
85.5%
Model confidence
14.4%
HPS W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 3 · avg 1.60/0.60
GF 1 · GA 15 · avg 0.20/3.00