GGOALVIO

Finland · Kansallinen Liiga · 5/3/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

HPS W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-0

Mediumconfidence

HPS W are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WWDWW), averaging 1.40 scored and 0.40 conceded, while PK-35 Vantaa W are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and HPS W hold a 29.7-point power-rating edge (58.4 v 28.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.0% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while HPS W holds the strongest overall chance at 77% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 53% BTTS chance and 69% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

HPS W

Probability

77.4%

Model confidence

11.0%

HPS W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HPS WWWDWW

GF 7 · GA 2 · avg 1.40/0.40

BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
PK-35 Vantaa WLLWLL

GF 10 · GA 13 · avg 2.00/2.60

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
HPS WPK-35 Vantaa W
48.9Attack42.2
62.2Defence17.8
60.0Form22.2
58.4Power28.7
2.89xG0.82
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