Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HPS W · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 3-0
HPS W are 1W-1D-1L in their last 3 (LDW), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.67 conceded, while ONS are 0W-0D-3L in their last 3 (LLL), averaging 1.00 scored and 5.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 6 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and HPS W hold a 40.9-point power-rating edge (58.4 v 17.5). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 3-0 the most likely exact scoreline at 84.2% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while HPS W holds the strongest overall chance at 84% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 41% BTTS chance and 68% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HPS W
Probability
84.2%
Model confidence
84.2%
HPS W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 5 · avg 1.00/1.67
GF 3 · GA 15 · avg 1.00/5.00