GGOALVIO

Finland · Kansallinen Liiga · 4/25/2026, 11:00:00 AM

Unified score-distribution model

Prediction markets

Åland United · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1

Mediumconfidence

HPS W are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WDWWL), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Åland United are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWLWW), averaging 3.60 scored and 1.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and Åland United hold a 12.7-point power-rating edge (58.4 v 71.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 11.2% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while Åland United holds the strongest overall chance at 50% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 63% BTTS chance and 62% for over 2.5 goals.

Predicted outcome

Åland United

Probability

49.7%

Model confidence

11.2%

Åland United has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.

Last 5 games

HPS WWDWWL

GF 8 · GA 8 · avg 1.60/1.60

BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
Åland UnitedLWLWW

GF 18 · GA 9 · avg 3.60/1.80

BTTS 5/5O2.5 5/5
HPS WÅland United
48.9Attack97.8
62.2Defence57.8
60.0Form68.9
58.4Power71.0
1.32xG1.91
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