Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Draw · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
13%
MediumconfidenceHPS W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while KuPS W are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLW), averaging 1.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 5 passed 2.5 goals, and KuPS W hold a 6.8-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 63.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely result in the Kansallinen Liiga, favouring a draw with 12.5% confidence, a 61% BTTS chance and 57% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Draw
Probability
26.9%
Model confidence
12.5%
Draw has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HPS WLLDWD
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
BTTS 2/5O2.5 2/5
KuPS WWLLLW
GF 9 · GA 10 · avg 1.80/2.00
BTTS 3/5O2.5 3/5
HPS WKuPS W
45.2Attack73.8
64.3Defence50.0
57.1Form66.7
56.7Power63.6
1.46xG1.52