Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HPS W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5
Most likely scores: 2-1 (10%), 1-1 (9%), 3-1 (7%). Each percentage is the probability of that exact score; the remaining probability belongs to other outcomes.
Prediction record
Final result
HPS W 1-0 Ilves W
Original prediction
HPS W
Outcome
Correct
Prediction record created 26 August 2026 at 01:00 UTC. Recorded before kickoff. Model v5.5-balanced-draw-selection.
Most Likely Scores
- 1.2–110%
- 2.1–19%
- 3.3–17%
Predicted outcome
HPS W
Probability
58.4%
Model confidence
58.4%
HPS W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
HPS WDLWLL
GF 8 · GA 13 · avg 1.60/2.60
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
Ilves WLLLWD
GF 6 · GA 10 · avg 1.20/2.00
BTTS 4/5O2.5 5/5
HPS WIlves W
51.0Attack56.9
56.9Defence35.3
54.9Form43.1
55.7Power46.3
2.24xG1.34