Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HJK W · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 0-2
HPS W are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WLLDW), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.80 conceded, while HJK are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.40 scored and 0.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and HJK hold a 27.9-point power-rating edge (58.4 v 86.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 60.1% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while HJK holds the strongest overall chance at 60% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 51% BTTS chance and 54% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HJK W
Probability
60.1%
Model confidence
60.1%
HJK W has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 6 · GA 9 · avg 1.20/1.80
GF 12 · GA 4 · avg 2.40/0.80