Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HJK · BTTS No · Over 2.5 · 0-2
HPS W are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LLDWD), averaging 0.60 scored and 1.40 conceded, while HJK W are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (LWWWW), averaging 2.00 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 3 of those 10 games and 4 passed 2.5 goals, and HJK W hold a 29.3-point power-rating edge (56.7 v 86.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 0-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 12.3% in the Kansallinen Liiga, while HJK W holds the strongest overall chance at 62% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 48% BTTS chance and 51% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HJK
Probability
62.3%
Model confidence
12.3%
HJK has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 3 · GA 7 · avg 0.60/1.40
GF 10 · GA 3 · avg 2.00/0.60