Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HPS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-1
HPS are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LLWWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.40 conceded, while NJS are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (WWLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 7 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and HPS hold a 52.3-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 7.0). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.1% in the Suomen Cup, while HPS holds the strongest overall chance at 64% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 75% BTTS chance and 81% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HPS
Probability
64.0%
Model confidence
8.1%
HPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 7 · avg 1.00/1.40
GF 9 · GA 7 · avg 1.80/1.40