Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Kiffen · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-2
HPS are 4W-1D-0L in their last 5 (WDWWW), averaging 2.60 scored and 1.20 conceded, while Kiffen are 3W-1D-1L in their last 5 (WWWDL), averaging 2.20 scored and 1.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Kiffen hold a 9.6-point power-rating edge (55.3 v 64.9). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.0% in the Kakkonen - Lohko A, while Kiffen holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 84% BTTS chance and 87% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Kiffen
Probability
46.2%
Model confidence
7.0%
Kiffen has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 13 · GA 6 · avg 2.60/1.20
GF 11 · GA 6 · avg 2.20/1.20