HPSvs
IFK Mariehamn
COMPLETEDFinland · Suomen Cup · 4/28/2026, 3:30:00 PM
Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
IFK Mariehamn · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
HPS are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (DLWLL), averaging 1.40 scored and 1.60 conceded, while IFK Mariehamn are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LDWLD), averaging 1.60 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 5 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and IFK Mariehamn hold a 17.9-point power-rating edge (59.3 v 77.2). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.9% in the Suomen Cup, while IFK Mariehamn holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 77% BTTS chance and 78% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
IFK Mariehamn
Probability
45.8%
Model confidence
7.9%
IFK Mariehamn has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 7 · GA 8 · avg 1.40/1.60
GF 8 · GA 7 · avg 1.60/1.40