Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
HPS · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 4-3
HPS are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLDL), averaging 1.60 scored and 2.00 conceded, while Atlantis are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLDLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 2.80 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 9 passed 2.5 goals, and the power ratings are near level at 55.3 against 56.1. Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 4-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 6.5% in the Kakkonen - Lohko A, while HPS holds the strongest overall chance at 46% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 95% BTTS chance and 97% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
HPS
Probability
46.3%
Model confidence
6.5%
HPS has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 8 · GA 10 · avg 1.60/2.00
GF 10 · GA 14 · avg 2.00/2.80