Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
PK-35 · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-2
HPS II are 3W-0D-2L in their last 5 (LWWLW), averaging 2.40 scored and 2.00 conceded, while PK-35 are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLD), averaging 1.20 scored and 1.40 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and PK-35 hold a 52.7-point power-rating edge (15.3 v 68.1). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-2 the most likely exact scoreline at 7.3% in the Suomen Cup, while PK-35 holds the strongest overall chance at 58% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 80% BTTS chance and 84% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
PK-35
Probability
57.9%
Model confidence
7.3%
PK-35 has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 12 · GA 10 · avg 2.40/2.00
GF 6 · GA 7 · avg 1.20/1.40