Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
TB · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hoyvík are 1W-0D-4L in their last 5 (LLWLL), averaging 2.00 scored and 3.60 conceded, while TB are 1W-2D-2L in their last 5 (LWDDL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.20 conceded. Both teams scored in 8 of those 10 games and 7 passed 2.5 goals, and TB hold a 16.7-point power-rating edge (7.0 v 23.7). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 9.3% in the Løgmanssteypid, while TB holds the strongest overall chance at 39% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 72% BTTS chance and 72% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
TB
Probability
38.6%
Model confidence
9.3%
TB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 10 · GA 18 · avg 2.00/3.60
GF 5 · GA 11 · avg 1.00/2.20