Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
TB · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 2-3
Hoyvík are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (WLLLD), averaging 1.80 scored and 3.80 conceded, while TB are 1W-1D-3L in their last 5 (LLDWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 2.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 6 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and TB hold a 10.8-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 44.6). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 2-3 the most likely exact scoreline at 44.5% in the 1. Deild, while TB holds the strongest overall chance at 44% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 88% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
TB
Probability
44.5%
Model confidence
44.5%
TB has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 9 · GA 19 · avg 1.80/3.80
GF 5 · GA 13 · avg 1.00/2.60