Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Suduroy · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-4
Hoyvík are 2W-0D-3L in their last 5 (LWLWL), averaging 1.00 scored and 1.60 conceded, while Suduroy are 4W-0D-1L in their last 5 (WLWWW), averaging 2.80 scored and 0.60 conceded. Both teams scored in 4 of those 10 games and 6 passed 2.5 goals, and Suduroy hold a 35.5-point power-rating edge (33.8 v 69.3). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-4 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the 1. Deild, while Suduroy holds the strongest overall chance at 78% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 78% BTTS chance and 91% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Suduroy
Probability
78.3%
Model confidence
8.9%
Suduroy has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 5 · GA 8 · avg 1.00/1.60
GF 14 · GA 3 · avg 2.80/0.60