Unified score-distribution model
Prediction markets
Hoyvík · BTTS Yes · Over 2.5 · 1-1
Hoyvík are 2W-1D-2L in their last 5 (DWLLW), averaging 3.00 scored and 3.20 conceded, while HB II are 0W-2D-3L in their last 5 (LLDDL), averaging 0.80 scored and 2.00 conceded. Both teams scored in 9 of those 10 games and 8 passed 2.5 goals, and HB II hold a 4.5-point power-rating edge (35.4 v 39.8). Goalvio's score-distribution model makes 1-1 the most likely exact scoreline at 8.9% in the 1. Deild, while Hoyvík holds the strongest overall chance at 43% on the aggregated 1X2 probabilities, with a 73% BTTS chance and 73% for over 2.5 goals.
Predicted outcome
Hoyvík
Probability
42.7%
Model confidence
8.9%
Hoyvík has the highest 1X2 probability aggregated from the score distribution.
Last 5 games
GF 15 · GA 16 · avg 3.00/3.20
GF 4 · GA 10 · avg 0.80/2.00